The Effect of Gold Prices and Interest Rates on Stock Performance (Study of Manufacturing Companies in Indonesia during the Covid-19 Pandemic)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31098/ebs.v1i1.55Keywords:
gold price, interest rate, stock performanceAbstract
This study aims to examine the effect of gold prices and interest rates on stock performance. The research was conducted at manufacturing companies listed on the IDX (Indonesia Stock Exchange) in January 2020 - July 2020. The sample selection was carried out by purposive sampling, namely determining the sample based on certain criteria. The number of samples in this study was 35 manufacturing companies. The analysis tool used is Warp-PLS. The results showed that the gold price had a significant negative effect on stock performance and the interest rate also had a significant negative effect on stock performance. The results of this study are useful for investors in making investment decisions and are beneficial for the government in increasing investment interest in Indonesia.References
Abayomi, S, Oladapo, F., Adeyeye, P., Oluwagb, S. 2017. Exchange Rate Volatility and Stock Market Performance in Nigeria. Nigerian Journal of Management Sciences Vol. 6 No.1, 2017
Alam, M., and Udin, G.S., 2009. Relationship between Interest Rate and Stock Price: Empirical Evidence from Developed and Developing Countries, International Journal of Business and Management (ISSN 1833-3850), Vol. 4(3), pp. 43-51, 2009
Al-Ameer, M., Hammad, W., Ismail, A., and Hamdan, A., 2018. The Relationship of Gold Price with the Stock Market: The Case of Frankfurt Stock Exchange. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy ISSN: 2146-4553 available at Http: www.econjournals.com International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 2018, 8(5), 357-371.
Amarasinghe. 2015. Dynamic Relationship between Interest Rate and Stock Price: Empirical Evidence from Colombo Stock Exchange. International Journal of Business and Social Science Vol. 6, No. 4; April 2015.
Bagh, T., Azad, T., Razzaq, S., Liaqat, I., Khan, M.A., 2017. The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Stock Index: Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences Vol. 7, No.3, July 2017, pp. 70–86 E-ISSN: 2225-8329, P-ISSN: 2308-0337.
Boediono. 2016. Seri Sinopsis Pengantar Ilmu Ekonomi, Yogyakarta : BPFE
Capie, F., Mills, T.C., and Wood, G. 2005. Gold as a Hedge against the Dollar, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Vol. 15, No. 4, pp. 343- 52, 2005
Chen, Nai-Fu, Richard Roll, and Stephen A. Ross. 1986. Economic Forces and the Stock Market. The Journal of Business 59: 383–403
Djayani, Nurdin, 1999, Resiko Investasi Pada Saham Preperti Di Bursa Efek Jakarta. Usahawan No.3 Th XXVIII Maret
Dwiati, A.R. dan Ambarwati, Y.B. 2016. Pengaruh Harga Emas Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Indonesia Dengan Nilai Kurs Sebagai Variabel Moderating. National Conference and Call for Papers. Implementasi dan Kontribusi Ilmu Akuntansi, Manajemen, & Bisnis dalam Pembangunan Ketahanan Ekonomi Nasional. Jakarta 25-26 Februari 2016
Frankel, J.A., 2014. How can commodity exporters make fiscal and monetary policy less procyclical?. HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series RWP11-015, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 2014.
Gaur, A. dan Bansal, M., 2010. A Comparative Study of Gold Price Movements in Indian and Global Markets. Indian Journal of Finance, Vol. 4, No. 2. P. 32-37
Hlupo, P., 2017. The Relationship Between Gold Prices And Equity Market Performance: Evidence From The Zimbabwe Stock Exchange. Proceedings of The IRES International Conference, Harare, Zimbabwe, 13 th -14 th August 2017
Jaiswal, U.K., and Voronina, V. 2011. Relationship between Gold and Stock Returns: Empirical evidence from BRICs, M.S. Thesis, Dept, Finance, Umea University, Sweden, 2011
Jogiyanto. 2000. Teori Portofolio dan Analisis Investasi. Yogyakarta: BPFE UGM.
Khumalo, John. 2013. Inflation and Stock Prices Interactions in South Africa: Var Analysis. International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies Vol 5, No 2, 2013 ISSN: 1309-8055 (Online)
Mangram, M.E., 2013. A simplified perspective of the Markowitz, Global Journal of Business Research, Vol.7, No. 1, pp. 59-70, 2013.
Mansor, H., 2011. Financial market risk and gold investment in an emerging market: The Case of Malaysia, Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, Vol. 11, pp. 79-89. 2011
Mechri, N., Hamad, S.B., Peretti, C., and Charfi, S. 2018. The Impact of the Exchange Rate Volatilities on Stock Markets Dynamics: Evidence from Tunisia and Turkey. HAL. 01766742v2f
Pilinkus, D., 2010. Macroeconomic Indicators and Their Impact on Stock Market Performance in the Short and Long Run: The Case of the Baltic States. Technological and economic development OF ECONOMY Baltic Journal on Sustainability 2010 16(2): 291–304
Ramsharan, N. 2019. Impacts of Interest Rate on Stock Market: Challenges for Investors. IJISET - International Journal of Innovative Science, Engineering & Technology, Vol. 6 Issue 4, April 2019 ISSN (Online) 2348 – 7968
Seri, S., and Dileep Kumar M. 2015. Impact of Exchange Rate on the Stock Market. International Review of Economics & Finance 5(5):10-11
Tan, K.L., Kang, C.K., Koh, W.H., Lau, H.Y. and Ng, C.Y. 2014. The nexus between stock market performance and gold price: The case of Hang Seng index, Doctoral dissertation, Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, Utar, 2014
Tandelilin, Eduardus. 2001. Analisis Investasi dan Manajemen Portofolio. Yogyakarta: BPFE UGM
Yousuf, A., and Nilsson, F. 2013. Impact of Exchange Rates on Swedish Stock Performances: Empirical study on USD and EUR exchange rates on the Swedish stock market. Student Umeå School of Business and Economics
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright Notice
1. Author and Manuscript
- The author whose name appear in the above statement is declaring that he/she is the author of the stated manuscript
- All of the authors, if any, has already aware of this agreement and give consent for the mentioned name to act on their behalf
2. Validity
- The author stated that the manuscript is original and has never been published elsewhere.
- The author has obtained permissions from other contributors, if any
- The author has specifically mentioned and cited all external materials properly
- Note: External materials refers to any material, writings, figures, tables, illustrations, or any other materials which is not being produced, made, or patented by the author
- The author holds the sole responsible should there are any mistyping; unclear citation and holds responsible should there are any inappropriate manners such as unlawful, breaches, obscene, or any other reasons which are not aligned with the law and norm.
3. Deliverable of Manuscript and Other Materials
- The Contributor/Author shall deliver their manuscript using the provided and acceptable format (doc. Or docx) in the assigned date as well as author copyright document signed.
- Inability delivering the manuscript in the stated date and format will affecting the publication process thus, The Publisher have the rights to reject the manuscript and terminate the letter of acceptance or letter of offerings
- Author is responsible to deliver the manuscript using the provided format. Note: All of the figures, tables, illustrations, or any other materials that will be inserted in the manuscript need to be in high quality
- Should the author decided to alter the manuscript format, the fee will be charged and bore by authors
The Author give “Yayasan Sinergi Riset dan Edukasi” (here forth known as RSF Press) the unlimited right to publish the contribution identified above, without any restraints, in any form, at any time, directly or through others, to reproduce, transmit, archive, lease/lend, sell and distribute the contribution or parts thereof individually or together with other works in any language, revision and version (digital and hard), including reprints, translations, photographic reproductions, microform, audiograms, videograms, electronic form (offline, online), or any other reproductions of similar nature, including publication in the aforementioned book or any other book, as well as, the usage for advertising purposes. RSF Press will ensure that the Author’s name(s) is/are always clearly associated with the manuscript, and the publishers will not make any substantial change to the manuscript without consulting the author and ask for their consent. RSF Press is also entitled to carry out editorial changes in the contribution with the sole purpose of enhancing the overall organization and form of the contribution.
The Author retains the rights to publish the contribution in his/her own web site and thesis, in his/her employer’s web site and to publish a similar or revised version elsewhere, as long as it is clearly stated that the contribution was presented first RSF Press and the corresponding DOI is associated with the contribution.